Halfway Check

by Windermere Windsor

This is a market which is changing quickly. We are studying the numbers every day so we can be clear about where the market is heading.

Here is a check on the market halfway through October.

Compared to last October…

Available inventory is up 73% in Northern Colorado and up 112% in Metro Denver. This is significant for buyers who, for years, were challenged with limited selection.
Number of closed transactions is down 50% in Northern Colorado and 41% in Metro Denver. This reflects the fact that fewer buyers are active right now given higher interest rates.

Prices continue to be higher than last year. They are up 12% in Northern Colorado and 13% in Metro Denver. We don’t expect double-digit increases to continue, but don’t expect anything like a price crash.

Fun Facts • July 8, 2022

Top Three

by Windermere Windsor

Here are the top three reasons why prices are unlikely to crash even though the market has cooled off:

Inventory – Ultimately, prices are driven by supply and demand. Although supply has increased, it still remains relatively low with less than two months’ supply in most areas.
New Homes – New home construction still lags behind the demand stemming from population growth. New home starts today are roughly 2/3 of what they were in 2005.
Credit – Home buyers today are highly qualified which protects the market from a glut of ‘distressed’ properties hitting the market in an economic downturn. The average credit score of buyers is now 776 which, by definition, is ‘excellent.’ Only 2% of loans today are given to buyers with scores under 640 whereas in 2001 25% of buyers had that low of a score.

Blog • Buyers & Sellers • Fun Facts • Relocation • April 30, 2021

Colorado Bound

by Windermere Windsor

The 2020 Census confirms what we already know – Colorado is popular!

It turns out that many people have been Colorado-bound over the last 10 years.

Our state has grown by the equivalent of one Mile High Stadium’s-worth of people each year over the last 10 years.

Here are the numbers:

2020 population is 5.77 million
10-year population increase is 744,000
10-year percentage increase is 14.8%
Colorado ranks 21st among all states for population
Only 5 states had a larger percentage increase over the last 10 years (Idaho, North Dakota, Nevada, Texas & Utah)

Only 8 states had a larger increase in population over the last 10 years (Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, New York, North Carolina, Texas & Washington

Blog • Buyers • For Buyers • Fun Facts • March 5, 2021

Homebuilder Headaches

by Windermere Windsor

The National Association of Home Builders recently surveyed their members to ask them about the challenges they currently face and the challenges they expect to face.

Far and away, the biggest headache for homebuilders right now is the rising cost of building materials.

96% of the survey respondents cited this as a significant problem they faced in 2020 and 89% believe it will be a significant problem this year.

It turns out that builders are not only concerned about building material costs, but also the availability of those materials.

78% said availability was a significant problem last year and 80% said that it will be a significant problem in 2021.

Due to increasing materials costs, we notice builders locally having to raise their base prices significantly in order to keep up with rising costs.

Blog • Fun Facts • July 19, 2019

Compound Effect

by Windermere Windsor

If you have driven on I-25 lately you may have noticed that the Front Range is a popular place.

The projections show that it will only get more popular in the future.

Today, 4.8 million people live along the Front Range from Fort Collins down to Pueblo.

In 2030, just 11 short years from now, 5.7 million people will live here.

Yes, that’s almost 1 million more than today.

This is all according to the Colorado State Demographers Office.

While this seems like a big increase, keep in mind that this assumes that population growth occurs at a fairly modest 1.7% per year.

It seems that our state will continue to grow and there will continue to be a demand for housing.

Blog • Fun Facts • June 14, 2019

Where Are The Sales?

by Windermere Windsor

A high-level look at the Northern Colorado region shows that the number of residential sales is down 5.4% in Larimer County and up 4.7% in Weld County. This is simply comparing the number of closings from June 2018 to June 2019 versus June 2017 to June 2018.

The high-level look doesn’t tell the whole story. It get’s more interesting when we look at individual Northern Colorado cities and towns:

• Fort Collins = -8.8%
• Loveland = -5.7%
• Greeley = +11.7%
• Windsor = +16%
• Wellington = -16.9%
• Timnath = +44.1%
• Severance = +20.4%
• Johnstown = -18.7%
• Berthoud = +18.1%
• Evans = -14.7%

So, what can we learn from this? The areas with increased sales are where there is an abundance of new construction (Timnath and Severance for example).

The areas with decreased sales don’t have an abundance of new construction (Fort Collins for example).

The exceptions to this would be Wellington and Johnstown. It appears that there is price sensitivity to the new construction product now being built in these areas. Given rising costs, builders are challenged to deliver a product under $350,000 in these places.

For instance, in Wellington, between June 2017 and June 2018 there were 137 sales of new homes priced under $350,000. Today there are only 6 new homes on the market at that price point.

Blog • Fun Facts • May 17, 2019

The Question of the Day

by Windermere Windsor

As we are helping people understand their new property assessments and putting together information so that they may protest their new valuation, here is the most common question we hear…

Did my property really go up that much?

Here are some stats that will help you answer that question.

First, you need to know that property assessments are done by the County every two years. So, as you look at how much your property increased in value according to the County, keep in mind that this increase is over a two-year period.

Next, it will help you to know how much our markets increased, on average, over the last two years. This data comes from our most trusted source, the Federal Housing Finance Authority.

Two Year Appreciation:

• Metro Denver = 18.65%
• Larimer County = 17.60%
• Weld County = 22.31%
• Boulder County = 16.28%

If you have questions about your new valuation or how to protest your property’s assessment, we would be happy to help. Just reach out and let us know.

Blog • Fun Facts • Housing Trends • Market News • November 9, 2018

83 Miles Per Hour

by Windermere Windsor

Pretend you have been driving on the Interstate at 100 miles per hour.

Also, pretend you have been doing that for a long time.

Now pretend you slow down to 83 miles per hour.

How would that feel?

It would probably feel slow, right?

83 miles per hour is a 17% decrease from 100. It may feel slow, but it’s still pretty fast.

How does this relate to real estate?

Well, the market has been moving fast for a long time.

It’s been going 100 miles per hour for at least two years (some would argue even longer).

We’ve recently seen a 17% change in terms of number of transactions that are occurring.

There were 17% fewer sales in October 2018 versus October 2017 in Metro Denver.

It feels slow because we’ve been driving so fast for so long. But, our market is still moving.

For example, prices are still up. So, remember, that it’s all relative.

Blog • Fun Facts • September 28, 2018

What’s Starting?

by Windermere Windsor

Here are some interesting stats from our friends at Metro Study who study new home activity along the Front Range.

• New home starts are up 14% compared to last year – this is really good news and is helping to relieve the shortage of housing inventory

• Every product type saw an increase in starts compared to last year (single family, town-home and condominium)

• Condominiums saw the largest increase in starts by a long shot, up 112% over last year- this is excellent news for first time buyers and those looking for product in lower price ranges.